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The Inevitable: Understanding the 12 Technological Forces That Will Shape Our Future (Inglês) Capa dura – 11 jul 2016

5.0 de 5 estrelas 1 avaliação de cliente

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Detalhes do produto

  • Capa dura: 336 páginas
  • Editora: Viking (7 de junho de 2016)
  • Idioma: Inglês
  • ISBN-10: 0525428089
  • ISBN-13: 978-0525428084
  • Dimensões do produto: 16,2 x 2,7 x 23,6 cm
  • Peso do produto: 476 g
  • Avaliação média: 5.0 de 5 estrelas  Ver todas as análises (1 avaliação de cliente)
  • Lista de mais vendidos da Amazon: no. 23,181 em Livros (Conheça o Top 100 na categoria Livros)

Descrições do Produto

Sobre o Autor

Kevin Kelly helped launch Wired magazine and was its executive editor for its first seven years. He has written for The New York Times, The Economist, Science, Time, and The Wall Street Journal among many other publications. His previous books include Out of Control, New Rules for the New Economy, Cool Tools, and What Technology Wants. Currently Senior Maverick at Wired, Kelly lives in Pacifica, California.

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Formato: eBook Kindle Compra verificada
Um livro cheio de ideias que realmente fazem pensar.
Surprendente, emocionante, profundamente provocador.
Kevin Kelly sabe conectar as ideias que transformaram o futuro!
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Avaliações mais úteis de consumidores na Amazon.com (beta)

Amazon.com: 4.3 de 5 estrelas 199 avaliações
Esta avaliação foi considerada útil por 43 de 48 pessoa(s):
3.0 de 5 estrelas Good Help for Catching Up on Dazzling Developments in IT 29 de agosto de 2016
Por FCRichelieu - Publicada na Amazon.com
Formato: eBook Kindle Compra verificada
When one picks up a book with the striking title "Inevitable", one may be misled to think that the author is trying to say, "Ready or not, like it or not, here it comes!" Now that I have read the book, I can see that the author's sentiment is in fact:"Wonderful development in the past three decades! Can't wait for what is to come!"

This is a very informative book about the great deal that has happened over the past three decades, as well as latest developments and trends in IT, artificial intelligence, virtual and augmented reality, and the whole range of such new technologies. The reader is also taken on a trip to see what the author thinks is likely to follow in the next three decades. For those of us who may find it difficult to follow the developments that have surged ahead at lightning speed, this is a very useful book that helps us to start catching up.

The author is evidently a huge fan of the many possibilities that the use of IT has opened up. There is a lot of hype and hoopla in the account that he sets out. That is all good. However, noting his intimate knowledge of the subject, I am rather disappointed that he has not tried to look more into issues (personal, social, between generations, etc) that may arise, or have arisen, as we try to adjust to the dramatic changes that are taking place at such enormous speeds.
Esta avaliação foi considerada útil por 3 de 3 pessoa(s):
4.0 de 5 estrelas Internet elder's crystal ball for the next 30 years 5 de janeiro de 2017
Por Dennis Muzza - Publicada na Amazon.com
Formato: eBook Kindle Compra verificada
Kevin Kelly is at it again with this book that looks at what the future has for us in the next 30 years, with each of the 12 forces described being a broad theme (i.e. Sharing, Screening, Accessing, etc.) that we can easily recognize today as happening but he explains in a broader context and outlines where it will take us. Unlike other authors, who only look forward and disregard what has been said before, Kelly was actually a pioneer of the Internet when it was at its embryonic stage in the 1980s and reflects on how wrong the 20-30 year predictions from that time were, including his own. So when, after all that he has seen, when seemingly all the valuable Internet real estate has been taken, he makes the bold statement at the end of the first chapter that "Right now, today, in 2016, is the best time to start up...This is the moment that folks in the future will look back at and say 'Oh, to have been alive back then'", he grabs and holds your attention for the rest of the book.

This is a book that whose ideas are meant to be slowly pondered on, not to be gobbled up quickly. As in his previous works there is an underlying sense that technology has a will of its own, it wants to go in a certain direction which we would do well to align with. What I found most illustrative were the scenarios at the end of each chapter where he shows what life in the future looks like after the technological force described in it has had enough time to play out, a positive take on what popular TV shows like Black Mirror paint in a very dark way.

The optimism that pervades the book requires the reader to take the long view, to look beyond the present state. At a time when we are bombarded with news stories about the disappearance of privacy, the surveillance state, cyberwarfare, and the automation of millions of jobs out of existence Kelly can come across as a hopeless Pollyanna, and when he claims that "propaganda is less effective in a world of screens, because while misinformation travels as fast as electrons corrections do too" calling this naive is too soft a word after a US election where fake news played a big role and traditional fact checking could not penetrate the social media bubbles we now live in. But like Kelly says when describing the Becoming force, technology is still evolving and just because we don't have a solution today to these problems doesn't mean that they will not eventually arise after these forces have run their course. With that confidence we can best appreciate what Kelly has to say.
Esta avaliação foi considerada útil por 2 de 2 pessoa(s):
3.0 de 5 estrelas Catalog of obvious changes 19 de março de 2017
Por J. Bilik - Publicada na Amazon.com
Formato: eBook Kindle Compra verificada
There is nothing in this book that I consider 'new' information about our current position in the rapidly expanding technosphere. If you are a student of technology, you can already guess where we are and where we are heading yourself. If you want to read about the history of the 12 technological categories the author believes we are advancing in to arrive at the 'prediction', you will be pleased. Otherwise, you may find the lack of content regarding the future of these trends disappointing. I recommend this book to anyone who is not currently aware of the trends the author specifies and who wants to gain current understanding. This is not a book for those looking for organized general information of the trends, let alone specifics.
Esta avaliação foi considerada útil por 62 de 71 pessoa(s):
1.0 de 5 estrelas This book is completely substanceless. Every trend he cites ... 6 de outubro de 2016
Por darawk - Publicada na Amazon.com
Formato: Capa dura Compra verificada
This book is completely substanceless. Every trend he cites is something that is already happening and obvious to anyone paying attention. The Cloud? Really? We're going to get more of that, are we?

More importantly though, the book is peppered with mild inaccuracies that demonstrate how little the author knows about his subject matter. He refers to Tor as a 'ubiquitous file sharing site'. Really man!? You're the editor of Wired and you don't know what Tor is? Or similarly, on Bitcoin 'Six years ago some shady characters who wanted to sell drugs online...and some admirable characters championing human rights...came up with Bitcoin'. Wildly inaccurate on both counts. Bitcoin was created by a single person who is completely anonymous and his motives mostly unknown - though we can say with reasonable certainty they had nothing to do with selling drugs.

This book is a joke.
Esta avaliação foi considerada útil por 6 de 7 pessoa(s):
4.0 de 5 estrelas The rapid changes in digital technology (every cool device we are using in 2050 3 de setembro de 2016
Por Bob Miller - Publicada na Amazon.com
Formato: Capa dura Compra verificada
A major theme of this book is that we can't stop the future: The author says, “We can't stop artificial intelligence (AI) and robots from improving, creating new businesses, and taking our current jobs.” For the most part, the author projects his vision of what the new gadgets will be and how everyone will be dependent upon them in most aspects of their lives. Our lives are changing and shifting from centralized to decentralized services and control because the internet permits massive collaboration efforts by the people. Our unexpected willingness to share our thoughts, habits and personal affairs (Facebook, other social media, and Amazon- style marketing techniques) with the world means that “Massive tracking and total surveillance is here to stay," Kevin Kelly opines. Similarly, he says that “virtual reality is becoming real.” AI will be the focus for most of the larger companies, including Google, now and in the future.

The rapid changes in digital technology (every cool device we are using in 2050, will have been invented after 2016) will keep us all in “newbie” status.

“The highest-earning professions in the year 2050 will depend on automatons and machines that have not been invented yet.” Our moods, travel destinations, love interests, health, fun agendas and other emotions will be detected by our “screens” and shape our lives, Kelly thinks. The author's futuristic predictions aside, the book reads smoothly (his excellent writing style accomplishes this), is entertaining and educational. I highly recommend this book.