- Capa dura: 336 páginas
- Editora: Viking (7 de junho de 2016)
- Idioma: Inglês
- ISBN-10: 0525428089
- ISBN-13: 978-0525428084
- Dimensões do produto: 16,2 x 2,7 x 23,6 cm
- Peso do produto: 476 g
- Avaliação média: 5.0 de 5 estrelas Ver todas as análises (1 avaliação de cliente)
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The Inevitable: Understanding the 12 Technological Forces That Will Shape Our Future (Inglês) Capa dura – 11 jul 2016
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Surprendente, emocionante, profundamente provocador.
Kevin Kelly sabe conectar as ideias que transformaram o futuro!
Avaliações mais úteis de consumidores na Amazon.com (beta)
This is a very informative book about the great deal that has happened over the past three decades, as well as latest developments and trends in IT, artificial intelligence, virtual and augmented reality, and the whole range of such new technologies. The reader is also taken on a trip to see what the author thinks is likely to follow in the next three decades. For those of us who may find it difficult to follow the developments that have surged ahead at lightning speed, this is a very useful book that helps us to start catching up.
The author is evidently a huge fan of the many possibilities that the use of IT has opened up. There is a lot of hype and hoopla in the account that he sets out. That is all good. However, noting his intimate knowledge of the subject, I am rather disappointed that he has not tried to look more into issues (personal, social, between generations, etc) that may arise, or have arisen, as we try to adjust to the dramatic changes that are taking place at such enormous speeds.
This is a book that whose ideas are meant to be slowly pondered on, not to be gobbled up quickly. As in his previous works there is an underlying sense that technology has a will of its own, it wants to go in a certain direction which we would do well to align with. What I found most illustrative were the scenarios at the end of each chapter where he shows what life in the future looks like after the technological force described in it has had enough time to play out, a positive take on what popular TV shows like Black Mirror paint in a very dark way.
The optimism that pervades the book requires the reader to take the long view, to look beyond the present state. At a time when we are bombarded with news stories about the disappearance of privacy, the surveillance state, cyberwarfare, and the automation of millions of jobs out of existence Kelly can come across as a hopeless Pollyanna, and when he claims that "propaganda is less effective in a world of screens, because while misinformation travels as fast as electrons corrections do too" calling this naive is too soft a word after a US election where fake news played a big role and traditional fact checking could not penetrate the social media bubbles we now live in. But like Kelly says when describing the Becoming force, technology is still evolving and just because we don't have a solution today to these problems doesn't mean that they will not eventually arise after these forces have run their course. With that confidence we can best appreciate what Kelly has to say.
More importantly though, the book is peppered with mild inaccuracies that demonstrate how little the author knows about his subject matter. He refers to Tor as a 'ubiquitous file sharing site'. Really man!? You're the editor of Wired and you don't know what Tor is? Or similarly, on Bitcoin 'Six years ago some shady characters who wanted to sell drugs online...and some admirable characters championing human rights...came up with Bitcoin'. Wildly inaccurate on both counts. Bitcoin was created by a single person who is completely anonymous and his motives mostly unknown - though we can say with reasonable certainty they had nothing to do with selling drugs.
This book is a joke.
The rapid changes in digital technology (every cool device we are using in 2050, will have been invented after 2016) will keep us all in “newbie” status.
“The highest-earning professions in the year 2050 will depend on automatons and machines that have not been invented yet.” Our moods, travel destinations, love interests, health, fun agendas and other emotions will be detected by our “screens” and shape our lives, Kelly thinks. The author's futuristic predictions aside, the book reads smoothly (his excellent writing style accomplishes this), is entertaining and educational. I highly recommend this book.
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