- Capa comum: 463 páginas
- Editora: Princeton University Press; Edição: Reprint (7 de setembro de 2011)
- Idioma: Inglês
- ISBN-10: 0691152640
- ISBN-13: 978-0691152646
- Dimensões do produto: 14 x 3,8 x 21,6 cm
- Peso de envio: 499 g
- Avaliação média: 1 avaliação de cliente
- Lista de mais vendidos da Amazon: no. 46,708 em Livros (Conheça o Top 100 na categoria Livros)
This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly (Inglês) Capa Comum – 6 set 2011
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"This Time Is Different is a tremendously exciting, topical, and controversial book on the history of debt and default. This one belongs on everyone's shelf."--Barry Eichengreen, author of The European Economy since 1945
"This is quite simply the best empirical investigation of financial crises ever published. Covering hundreds of years and bringing together a dizzying array of data, Reinhart and Rogoff have made a truly heroic contribution to financial history. This single marvelous volume is worth a thousand mathematical models."--Niall Ferguson, author of The Ascent of Money: A Financial History of the World
"This Time is Different is terrific, for it gives just the perspective we need on the current world economic crisis. People can't expect to understand the current crisis without some in-depth look at past crises. That is exactly what this excellent and timely book provides."--Robert J. Shiller, author of Irrational Exuberance and coauthor of Animal Spirits
"You will be hard-pressed to find a more comprehensive and insightful analysis of financial crises. Reinhart and Rogoff's superb book is a must-read for anyone looking to understand past and present crises, as well as navigate those of tomorrow."--Mohamed El-Erian, author of When Markets Collide
"I would say that her [Carmen Reinhart's] book with Ken Rogoff on debt crises and financial crises is an extraordinary piece of work."--Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, speaking before the House Budget Committee (6/9/2010)
"The most important authorities probably in the world now on financial crashes are Kenneth Rogoff and Carmen Reinhart. . . . And I read it [This Time is Different]."--Former President Bill Clinton, speech at Youngstown, OH, October 31, 2012
"A classic."--Nouriel Roubini
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This book was written before their deification by pro-austerity, less-compassionate politicians. This book lays out the data and the small empirically based “aha's”, which investors can use to practical results. And their successful effort in this book is enormous, teasing out reliable historical data, never found before, especially from the Third World. Never underestimate the power of details. I admire this book completely for its precision. And the conclusion I can draw: Caveat Emptor. The future rhymes with the past. Do not confuse causation and correlation.
In my opinion, TTID's greatest strength is the massive data set both authors compiled. I have a background in economics (bachelor's degree) but I can't speak about the quality of the data set itself or the statistical methods the authors used. But from an enthusiast perspective, I enjoyed how Reinhart and Rogoff persuasively weave big-picture themes with their data. I also learned some interesting things, such as how financial innovation makes crisis more severe (e.g. hyperinflation was non-existent when metallic currencies were used but grew with the rise of fiat paper currencies).
My only criticism is that before I read TTID, I assumed the authors would take a complete case study approach and give an in-depth analysis on how different financial crisis developed and unfolded (such as the East Asian Crisis or the Latin American Debt Crisis). This was clearly not the case. TTID is a compendium of financial crisis, and the authors' analysis is clear and concise. Sticklers for detail will be disappointed but researchers might be in for a treat with the data set. Overall, I recommend TTID to anyone with an interest in economics. My rating is four stars, only because of my lack of interest in the tremendous amount of data the authors collected.
The content is a bit intellectual, which isn't bad per se. Maybe because I mainly read before bed, I found it took more concentration to follow then the typical finance/economics stuff I read.
I give this book one star for its Kindle Paperwhite presentation. There are many charts and graphs supporting the text and they are very difficult to read, mainly due to contrast and shades of gray rendering. Perhaps on a color Kindle like Fire this won't be a problem but on the Paperwhite, it is a disaster. If you own a Paperwhite or probably any non-color Kindle, I would avoid buying this book. I feel I wasted my money.
While the charts/graphs are not critical to understanding the points he makes, they are copious and not having them to ponder as you read makes the book less fun.
I recommend the book(content), just not the Paperwhite presentation.