- Capa comum: 463 páginas
- Editora: Princeton University Press; Edição: Reprint (7 de setembro de 2011)
- Idioma: Inglês
- ISBN-10: 0691152640
- ISBN-13: 978-0691152646
- Dimensões do produto: 3,8 x 14 x 21,6 cm
- Peso de envio: 499 g
- Avaliação média: 1 avaliação de cliente
- Lista de mais vendidos da Amazon: no. 47,337 em Livros (Conheça o Top 100 na categoria Livros)
This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly (Inglês) Capa Comum – 6 set 2011
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|2x sem juros||R$ 32,32||R$ 64,64|
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"This Time Is Different is a tremendously exciting, topical, and controversial book on the history of debt and default. This one belongs on everyone's shelf."--Barry Eichengreen, author of The European Economy since 1945
"This is quite simply the best empirical investigation of financial crises ever published. Covering hundreds of years and bringing together a dizzying array of data, Reinhart and Rogoff have made a truly heroic contribution to financial history. This single marvelous volume is worth a thousand mathematical models."--Niall Ferguson, author of The Ascent of Money: A Financial History of the World
"This Time is Different is terrific, for it gives just the perspective we need on the current world economic crisis. People can't expect to understand the current crisis without some in-depth look at past crises. That is exactly what this excellent and timely book provides."--Robert J. Shiller, author of Irrational Exuberance and coauthor of Animal Spirits
"You will be hard-pressed to find a more comprehensive and insightful analysis of financial crises. Reinhart and Rogoff's superb book is a must-read for anyone looking to understand past and present crises, as well as navigate those of tomorrow."--Mohamed El-Erian, author of When Markets Collide
"I would say that her [Carmen Reinhart's] book with Ken Rogoff on debt crises and financial crises is an extraordinary piece of work."--Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, speaking before the House Budget Committee (6/9/2010)
"The most important authorities probably in the world now on financial crashes are Kenneth Rogoff and Carmen Reinhart. . . . And I read it [This Time is Different]."--Former President Bill Clinton, speech at Youngstown, OH, October 31, 2012
"A classic."--Nouriel Roubini
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I had hoped to derive useful insights for investing. I have read other books - The Big Short, Dying of Money, Lords of Finance, etc. - with this same purpose. However, while I was greatly impressed with the authors' effort and commitment, the main lesson that I drew from the book is that financial distress is quite common and recovery from it can be painful and lengthy. I expect our recovery to be so.
The book may aid an investor if one invests overseas. The historical tendencies of individual countries may be of some use. An investor may avoid some countries because of their financial history. For instance, if one loans money to Argentina or Greece with an expectation of repayment, you are quite likely to get what you deserve.
The book notes that inflation is one common political response to national financial distress. Indeed, I have read a blog by Professor Rogoff observing that the United States' current overcommitted financial circumstances might be eased by inflation. This, too, probably lies in our future. The book, Dying of Money, about the German hyperinflation of the 1920's may provide some practical guidance on this point.
I am certain that if you a policymaker, a banker, or an emerging markets investor, it is very much worth your time to read this book. The authors are erudite and seem to have compiled a peerless set of data on which to base their analysis and conclusion, much of which is exhaustively summarized in the appendices. So there is an audience for this book, but if you want a readable book with the same conclusion, and don’t need the volumes of data, try classics like “Devil Take The Hindmost” and “Manias, Panics and Crashes.” Or, for something less laser-focused on the financial markets and trading, “Extraordinary Popular Delusions and The Madness of Crowds” or even “The Crowd: A Study of the Popular Mind” (though that last one is a pretty hard slog, too).
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